Searchlight Pictures; MUBI
Asocial media scandal involving a Best Actress nominee?
Asanonymous balloters have told EW in the past, controversy won’t always influencehow they vote.
See EW’s full list of 2025 Oscars predictions in every category, below.

Demi Moore in ‘The Substance’ and Timothée Chalamet in ‘A Complete Unknown’.Credit:Searchlight Pictures; MUBI
That left us with a couple of different scenarios to choose from.
That’s an extremely tough statistic to squander.
Looks likeAnorawas on top all along, and everything else was just noise.

Mark Eydelshteyn and Mikey Madison in ‘Anora’.Neon /Courtesy Everett Collection
Buck tradition, however you see fit.
Courtesy of Sundance Institute.

Jesse Eisenberg and Kieran Culkin in ‘A Real Pain’.Courtesy of Sundance Institute.

Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo in ‘Wicked’.Giles Keyte/Universal Pictures

Demi Moore in her ‘Substance’ prosthetics.Demi Moore/Instagram

Timothée Chalamet and Austin Butler in ‘Dune: Part Two’.Niko Tavernise/Warner Bros. Pictures